UK 2010 General Election Results

The results are from the election on 6th May 2010 when 649 of 650 polls were conducted. The poll for Thirsk and Malton was delayed due to the death of a candidate. The results were updated on the 28th May 2010 when the result of the Thirsk and Malton poll was announced.

How Would the Alternative Vote System Change the Result

Much has been said, in the press and by politicians. Labour offered an immediate implementation of the Alternative Vote System. The Conservatives offered a referendum on the Alternative Vote System.

This web page will give an overview of what the Alternative Vote (AV) System is. This should not be confused with AV+ (AV Plus) or PR (Proportional Representation). There is an interactive calculator that shows the effect of AV on the result of the 2010 UK General Election.

How the Alternative Vote System Works

The same constituency boundaries are used and voters would elect one person to represent them in parliament, just as we do now. However, rather than marking an 'X' against their preferred candidate, each voter would rank their candidates in an order of preference, putting '1' next to their favourite, a '2' by their second choice and so on. If a candidate receives a majority of first place votes, he or she would be elected just as under the present system. However if no single candidate gets more than 50% of the vote, the second choices for the candidate at the bottom are redistributed. The process is repeated until one candidate gets an absolute majority. The alternative vote is not actually a proportional system, but a majoritarian system. It looks most similar to the current electoral system.

For more information about the Alternative Vote (AV) System see Electoral Reform Society Web site.

In the 2010 UK General Election, 34% of MPs had more than 50% of the constituency vote. These constituency MPs would not have been affected by AV. To see which political parties returned MPs with more than 50% of the vote - see the number of MPs with more than 50% of the vote page.

How the Calculator Works

In this scenario, it is assumed that any redistributed votes:

  • from candidates lower than third place are evenly distributed to the first and second placed candidates
  • from the third placed candiate are redistributed as
    • x% to the first placed candidate
    • y% to the second placed candidate
    • z% discarded

The votes from candidates lower than third place, that are evenly distributed to the first and second placed candidates, do not change the election result as the difference in votes (the "majority") between the first and second placed candidates remains unchanged. Thus the first placed candidate maintains their majority over the second placed candidate.

The votes from the third place candidate that are discarded (z%) do not change the election result as the difference in votes between the first and second placed candidates remains unchanged. The only way to reduce, eliminate or reverse the majority of the first placed candidate is for more votes to be tranfered from the third placed candidate to the second placed candidata (y%) than are tranfered from the third placed candidate to the first placed candidata (x%). It is immaterial what the actual values of x% and y% are. All that matters is the difference between them. This calculator allows different values to be set for y%-x%.

Number of Constituencies Affected by the Alternate Vote System

Show the party that would be elected using the Alternative Vote System with a transfer of 10% of the 3rd placed candidate to the 2nd placed candidate.
Results
Affected
First-Past-the-Post Positions Elected using AV
1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
9ConservativeLabourLiberal DemocratLabour
4ConservativeLiberal DemocratLabourLiberal Democrat
6LabourConservativeLiberal DemocratConservative
6LabourLiberal DemocratConservativeLiberal Democrat
2Liberal DemocratConservativeLabourConservative
2Liberal DemocratLabourConservativeLabour
1Sinn FeinIndependentSocial Democratic & Labour PartyIndependent

Rerun the analysis with% more of votes transferred from 3rd placed candidate to 2nd placed candidate than are transferred from 3rd placed candidate to the 1st placed candidate.

MPs returned under the Alternate Vote System

Show the resulting effect using the Alternative Vote System with a transfer of 10% of the 3rd placed candidates to the 2nd placed candidates.
Party First-Past-the-Post MPs Constituencies Lost due to AV Constituencies Gained due to AV Net Gain(+)/Loss(-) due to AV AV System MPs
Conservative306 13 -5 301 
Labour258 12 11 -1 257 
Liberal Democrat57 10 63 
Democratic Unionist Party  
Scottish National Party  
Sinn Fein -1 
Plaid Cymru  
Social Democratic & Labour Party  
Alliance Party  
Green  
Independent 
Speaker  
TOTAL65030300650

Go to the "2010 General Election home page.


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